You can't repeat teams. I have kept my streak alive through the first four weeks of the NFL season with my picks as follows:. The Giants are coming off a four-point victory over the Arizona Cardinals on the road and are riding a three-game win streak into this home contest. Overall, this seems like a strong pick. Going with the herd would be a safe bet here, but what's fun about that? I picked the Giants in Week 2, so they're out for me. I would love to be able to pick a weaker team this week in a home matchup, but nothing is sticking out.
Could I trust the Jacksonville Jaguars to defend their home turf against the Bengals? I want to. Instead, I'll play it relatively safe this week by going with the New Orleans Saints on the road versus the Carolina Panthers. Cincinnati Bengals at New York Jets. The Jets' defense overachieved early in the season, but they struggled in London against Atlanta and then allowed 54 points last week to New England without C. Meanwhile, the offense has been the worst in the NFL, and now they are relying on backup quarterback Mike White , and the Jets showed how much confidence they have in him by trading for Joe Flacco on Monday.
Cincinnati has been one of the most balanced teams in the NFL with an above average offense and defense, and with the Jets reeling, they look like a strong pick.
The Chiefs may be , but they have not been favored by more than seven points all season until this week. All but one of their opponents this year either made the playoffs last year or are in position to make the playoffs this year. While the Giants have traditionally kept games close as a road underdog, they rarely actually win them.
In fact, there isn't a single week the rest of the season where the Chiefs are projected to be one of the top six favorites in the week. FPI still views the Chiefs as the sixth-best team in the NFL, and with the Giants still banged up, this looks like a potential get-right spot for Patrick Mahomes and company. Los Angeles Rams at Houston Texans. If you still have the Rams available, they are an even stronger option for this week than the Bengals or Chiefs.
However, planning long-term, the Rams have a juicy Week 13 home game against Jacksonville where they are by far the biggest favorites on the board. Given the lack of future value for the Bengals and Chiefs, I would recommend saving the Rams for that Week 13 matchup. If you're looking for another reason not to use the Rams, the only two previous times the Rams were this large of betting favorites under Sean McVay, they lost outright to the Jets last season, and trailed in the 4th quarter last week against the Lions.
Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins. The Bills are the second-largest FPI favorites in any game this season to this point, only behind Arizona last week against Houston.
However, with the Bills still having two games remaining against the Jets and home games remaining against the Falcons, Jaguars and Panthers. Buffalo is the most likely team to win on paper this week, but no team has more future value than the Bills, so it's best to save them. Skip to main content Skip to navigation. Tua helps Dolphins to win after Brissett injured. Miami Dolphins. Four players ejected after Gobert, Turner tussle.
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